Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 49.508958 58.187319 67.675094 78.783277 91.395687 105.233997 121.527984
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 36.584776 48.163535 62.024023 79.685992 101.426171 127.135086 159.643630
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 27.767919 40.071666 55.902105 77.440745 105.615587 140.819307 187.674133
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 22.685758 35.394061 52.763760 77.700257 111.951020 156.641079 218.527812
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 19.236888 32.177494 50.832319 78.886672 119.051382 173.392362 251.147907
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 14.852311 26.750593 44.888481 73.502348 116.227133 176.164428 264.745311
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 13.102753 25.073753 44.166990 75.458145 123.748014 193.421433 298.975309
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 11.115349 22.642764 41.897076 74.685037 126.969680 204.515112 324.861778
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.484019 22.446930 43.169259 79.525374 138.979346 229.029352 371.352643
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.473395 19.381403 39.201497 75.345217 136.391539 231.351174 384.918480
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 7.775824 18.707694 39.302643 77.959372 144.825696 250.887080 425.290657
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.523423 18.884976 40.943630 83.344474 158.129826 278.643676 479.494158
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.897566 18.312706 41.366752 87.068254 169.717257 305.616943 536.002304
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.977805 16.945431 40.127868 87.728069 176.274971 325.194741 582.476699
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.913950 14.996977 37.416968 85.260147 177.022026 335.130431 613.849786
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.251677 13.863202 36.213780 85.538364 182.667316 353.519349 659.896348
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.759003 13.046849 35.566152 86.824760 190.215903 375.515473 712.944296
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.895595 10.971894 31.719775 80.983141 183.622426 372.231177 722.764695
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.615686 10.516576 31.610961 83.105628 192.676372 397.291339 782.571222
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.226176 9.609489 30.241282 82.266711 195.699523 411.487115 823.919852
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.154310 9.726964 31.500097 87.517328 211.497068 450.031199 910.097122
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.701092 8.386189 28.694596 82.983094 206.587079 449.501608 926.028738
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.572630 8.187024 28.967916 85.819036 217.468572 479.478988 998.643616